Comment on Comcast bringing Skype video chat into the living room by Chris
Backlink: http://gigaom.com/video/comcast-skype-video-chat/#comment-631035
Comment on Comcast bringing Skype video chat into the living room by Chris
Backlink: http://gigaom.com/video/comcast-skype-video-chat/#comment-631035
Now that AT&T is buying T-Mobile for $39 billion, something is probably going to have to happen with Sprint, the no. 3 carrier that has had a pretty rough time since closing its merger with Nextel half a decade ago.
If Sprint has a tough time competing today, imagine how it's going to be when its biggest competitor grows one-third bigger. At the end of 2010, AT&T had 96 million wireless subscribers and T-Mobile had 34 million, for a combined total of roughly 130 million. Verizon had 94 million. Sprint Nextel, meanwhile, finished the year with 50 million.
So what can Sprint do?
In the short term, it's going to raise a stink about how the merger is bad news for the wireless industry. (Though AT&T has already put on a lengthy show about why the deal is actually good news for consumers and, obviously, for AT&T itself.)
In the medium to long term, Sprint is probably going to have to be involved in consolidation. It can either be the buyer -- as it was considering with T-Mobile before AT&T won that deal, and can now look at U.S. Cellular, MetroPCS, and/or Leap Wireless -- or it can be rolled up. These days, it's looking more like Sprint is going to be absorbed.
So who might be the buyer?
Verizon Wireless is the most likely buyer, just because it's already in the same business as Sprint.
Combining Verizon and Sprint would make it the biggest U.S. wireless carrier, with 144 million subscribers as of the end of 2010. Verizon and Sprint both use the same 3G network technology -- CDMA -- so that would be a relatively easy combination, as opposed to either of them trying to combine with GSM-based T-Mobile. They currently have different 4G networks -- Sprint's through its stake in Clearwire -- and Sprint has that whole Nextel walkie-talkie network to deal with. But those problems could be figured out. (Maybe a crazy sign-and-trade deal with Motorola for the Nextel/iDEN network?)
This, like the AT&T-Mobile deal, would face extreme regulatory scrutiny. But it's one reason for Verizon to let the T-Mobile deal pass without creating a stink.
Comcast has supposedly been eyeing Sprint for years, and now that the NBC deal is done, might be able to pounce.
Comcast is the biggest cable provider in the U.S., and theoretically, would want to offer some sort of wireless service in the future. This could be useful for data "roaming" away from your home cable modem, watching TV on the go, combining your mobile and home phones, etc. It would also give Comcast, which only serves cable in some areas, a national footprint.
But so far, Comcast boss Brian Roberts hasn't really cared that much about wireless. Early integration attempts with Sprint -- "Pivot" -- failed. Comcast has invested in Clearwire alongside Sprint, Time Warner Cable, and others. But that's about it.
Roberts could make a big splash here, or he could ignore the opportunity, focusing instead on integrating NBC. We'll see.
Google buying Sprint would be a stretch, but anything's possible.
Google's best interest in the wireless industry is to remain a neutral partner, hoping that as many carriers in the world promote Android phones (and Google search/ads) as possible.
But don't you think the geniuses at Google are a little fed up with how the carriers have taken Android, filled it up with crapware, and haven't done anything innovative with it? The main reason carriers even care at all about Android now is that it's a decent competitor to the iPhone, which most of them can't sell yet.
How about some drastically creative services and pricing? How about something radically new that will change the way we communicate?
By having control over the software layer and the network layer, Google might be able to create that. And that could really show AT&T and Verizon -- which both suck at software -- some real competition. This could be a really cool deal for consumers.
But this would be an uncharacteristically big bet for Google, and it would involve a lot of things that Google isn't good at, like retail and customer service.
Perhaps it's better off just investing in wireless companies like Clearwire, making phone software as good as it can, and hoping for more deals like the one it announced with Sprint today, to integrate Google Voice service into the network's offerings.
Either way, Sprint is probably now in play. Other potential suitors could include private equity, maybe Cisco, or maybe even an international player.
Related: AT&T-Mobile: The Biggest Winners And Losers
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Who's Going To Buy Sprint Now? Verizon? Comcast? Google? (S, VZ, CMCSA, GOOG)
Comcast president Neil Smit said today that the cable giant doesn't have plans to start charging its broadband subscribers by how much bandwidth they use per month.
Not yet, at least.
But come on, of COURSE Comcast isn't going to make the massive announcement at an investor conference, and spook its customers.
However, you can bet that if Comcast isn't the first major U.S. broadband company to get rid of all-you-can-eat Internet access, it will eventually.
Charging for broadband based on consumption is the holy grail for Internet providers -- it would almost certainly increase the amount that customers spend, on average -- and Comcast would never let its competitors get a financial leg up.
Especially because that's how Comcast is going to stop Netflix! Charging for Internet access based on consumption would deter people from watching more high-bandwidth Internet video on iTunes or Netflix, which represents the biggest threat to Comcast's legacy cable TV business.
Perhaps the real reason it isn't going to start charging based on consumption yet is that the average Comcast customer isn't consuming much bandwidth in the first place.
Smit said the average Comcast user consumes 2 to 4 GB of bandwidth per month -- which is barely 2 or 3 iTunes-sized movies per month.
Related: If Net Neutrality Is Coming, So Is The End Of All-You-Can-Eat Internet Access
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Comcast Doesn't Plan To Charge Bandwidth Hogs Extra... Yet (CMCSA, AAPL, NFLX)
Comment on Forget Net Neutrality; Comcast Might Break the Web by Russ
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Comment on Forget Net Neutrality, Comcast Might Break the Web by Mark Renouf
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Comment on Forget Net Neutrality, Comcast Might Break the Web by Brett Glass
Backlink: http://gigaom.com/2010/11/29/forget-net-neutrality-comcast-might-break-the-web/#comment-526893
Get ready to pay more for all the video you're watching on the Internet: The days of all-you-can-eat Internet access are growing scarce.
That's the REAL reason that Comcast is trying to get Level 3, a telecom company, to pay extra for the Internet video traffic it's pushing onto Comcast's pipes -- which Level 3 is now publicly complaining about.
As web video -- which uses a lot of bandwidth -- grows in popularity, Comcast will want to get paid more. Especially because web video is eventually going to replace a lot of the video you're currently watching on cable TV, and that you're paying Comcast a fat monthly bill for.
As more people replace part or all of their cable subscription with Internet video, Comcast is going to need to get its money somewhere, whether it's directly from consumers, or via a middle man, like Level 3.
Perhaps Comcast is first trying to make Internet video more expensive for Level 3 (and its customers like Netflix) to deliver, by charging more for bandwidth on the back end.
This would make business more expensive for streaming services like Netflix and iTunes, who may then have to charge consumers more for their video services. That would be extra sweet for Comcast -- more money, and weaker competition from iTunes and Netflix.
But if that doesn't work, because of either market or regulatory forces, Comcast may have to go after its own cable modem customers next to get that extra revenue. And that may mean an Internet bill that's much more than $45 per month.
Either way, don't expect this issue to go away -- and don't expect your all-in entertainment bill to go down.
Just because Internet video is the future, doesn't mean it's going to be cheap.
By the way, we'll be talking about this issue at IGNITION, our conference later this week about the future of media. If you haven't bought a ticket yet, what are you waiting for?
See Also: Why I Caved, Bought Cable TV, And Gave Up On My "Hulu Household"
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Comcast Starts The Ball Rolling That Kills All-You-Can-Eat Internet Access (CMCST, LVLT, NFLX, AAPL)
Internet backbone provider Level 3 Communications claims that Comcast has suddenly started charging it fees to deliver Internet video to Comcast subscribers.
In a press release, Level 3's Chief Legal Officer Thomas Stortz claims that Comcast approached it on November 19th to demand a recurring fee for delivering online movies and other video. Four days later, Comcast reiterated its demand, and Level 3 paid up to avoid service disruptions to customers. Level 3 is complaining to regulators in hopes of getting rules passed that would prevent companies from establishing these kinds of "toll" payments.
This is a perfect example of why it's so hard for technology companies to change the current TV distribution model. Comcast has no interest in allowing its Internet subscribers to undercut its core TV and video-on-demand business. After all, Comcast pays content owners to distribute their content--why should it allow ISPs a free ride?
Cord-cutting is a nice dream for the high-tech industry, but the incumbents aren't going to roll over and let it happen easily.
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Comcast Shakes Down Internet Provider For Video Delivery (LVLT, CMCSK)